Maths Foresees

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Publications

Studygroups and projects led to the following publications:
  • 9. B. Hankin, I. Hewitt, G. Sander, F. Danieli, G. Formetta, A. Kamilova, A. Kretzschmar, K. Kiradjiev, C. Wong, S. Pegler, and R. Lamb 2020: A risk-based, network analysis of distributed in-stream leaky barriers for flood risk management. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences HESS 20, 2567-2584. (via studygroup with JBA Trust)
  • 8. O. Bokhove, T. Hicks, W. Zweers, T. Kent 2020: Wetropolis extreme rainfall and flood demonstrator: from mathematical design to outreach and research. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 24, 2483-2503. Chosen as EGU highlight article on 28-05-2020. Extra: EarthArxiv 2019 & GitHub design link. (via outreach project)
  • 7. O. Bokhove, T. Kent, M.A. Kelmanson, G. Piton, J.M. Tacnet 2020: A cost-effectiveness protocol for flood-mitigation plans based on Leeds’ Boxing Day 2015 floods. Water 12(3), 652. 2018 preprint. (via outreach project)
  • 6. O. Bokhove, T. Kent, M.A. Kelmanson, G. Piton, J.M. Tacnet 2019: Communicating (nature-based) solutions using flood-excess volume for three UK and French river floods. River Research and Applications 35, 1402-1414. 2018 preprint with a cunning extra River Don 2007 flood example. (via outreach project)
  • 5. S. Patidar, D. Allen, R. Haynes, H. Haynes 2019: Stochastic modeling of flow sequences for improved prediction of fluvial flood hazards. In: River to reservoir: geoscience to engineering. Edts Corbett et al. Geological society special publication no. 488. link (via feasibility project)
  • 4. Böing, S.J., Dritschel, D.G., Parker, D.J. and Blyth, A.M. 2019: Comparison of the Moist Parcel-In-Cell (MPIC) model with large-eddy simulation for an idealized cloud. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 145, 1865-1881. Link (via feasibility project)
  • 3. Dritschel, D. G., Böing, S. J., Parker, D. J., & Blyth, A. M. (2018). The moist parcel‐in‐cell method for modelling moist convection. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 144(715), 1695-1718. DOI
  • 2. Cheng B., Cullen M., Esler J., Norbury J., Turner M., Vanneste J., Cheng J. 2017: A Model for Moist Convection in an Ascending Atmospheric Column Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 143 (708). 2925-2939. Link (via studygroup with Met Office)
  • 1. Cheng B., Cheng J., Cullen M., Norbury J., Turner M.R. 2017: A rigorous treatment of moist convection in a single column, SIAM Journal on Mathematical Analysis 49 (5) pp. 3854-3892. Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics. Link (via studygroup with Met Office)
  • O. Bokhove, T. Kent, M.A. Kelmanson 2018: Using flood-excess volume to show that upscaling beaver dams for protection against extreme floods proves unrealistic. EarthArxiv, 10pp, with a comment by J. Rand in the New Scientist. (via outreach project)
  • O. Bokhove, M.A. Kelmanson, T. Kent 2020: Evidence entitled A new tool for communicating cost-effectiveness of flood-mitigation schemes for the UK Government Department of Environment, Food and Rural Affairs Committee inquiry into flooding.

    • Projects

    The following projects have been awarded by the Maths Foresees network:

    Feasibility studies

  • Sergei Lukaschuk (PI; University of Hull) with Victor Shrira (Keele University) on 'modelling the wave dynamics of jet currents in a flume' (awarded May 2015; ends March 2017). Presentation I and Presentation II
    - Read the final project report here.
  • Jacques Vanneste (PI; University of Edinburgh) with Ruth Doherty (University of Edinburgh) and Alexandra Tzella (University of Birmingham) on 'a multiscale model of urban dispersion' (awarded May 2015; ended January 2016).
    - Read the final project report here.
  • Colin Cotter (PI) with Alastair Gregory, David Ham (all Imperial College London) and Rob Lamb (JBA Trust) on 'multilevel Monte Carlo methods for flood risk assessment' (awarded January 2016; ended October 2016).
    - Read the final project report here.
  • Andrew Hogg (PI) with Jonty Rougier, Paul Bates, Mark Woodhouse (all University of Bristol) and Rob Lamb (JBA Trust) on 'the effects of topographic uncertainty on flood and debris flow modelling' (awarded January 2016; ends January 2017).
    - Read the final project report here.
  • David Dritschel (PI; University of St Andrews) with Steven Boeing, Doug Parker and Alan Blyth (all University of Leeds) on 'a prototype vortex-in-cell algorithm for modelling moist convection' (awarded January 2016; ended October 2016)
    - Read final project report here.
  • Sandhya Patidar (PI) with Heather Haynes, Ji Li (all Heriot-Watt University) and Fiona McLay (SEPA) on 'a stochastic modelling approach for future flood risk modelling' (awarded September 2016, ends March 2017).
    - Read the final project report here.
  • Rebecca Killick (PI) with Suzana Ilic (both Lancaster University) and Iain Gold (Environment Agency) on 'forecasting river levels utilising nonstationarity' (awarded September 2016, ends April 2017).
    - Read the final project report here.

    • Outreach projects

  • Onno Bokhove (PI; University of Leeds) with Robin Gray (Pennine Prospects) and Louise Walker (water@leeds) on a 'conceptual table-top demonstration of catchments, river floods and flood mitigation' (awarded May 2015, ends June 2017)
    Renamed to Wetropolis flood demonstator (blog) See Onno's presentation on the Science of Floods: rainfall, flooding and flood control revisited in the design of a table-top model, given at the public workshop Science of Floods in Hebden Bridge led by Pennine Prospects in May 2016.
    - Read the final project report here.
  • Sara Lombardo (PI) with Matteo Sommacal, Benoit Huard (all Northumbria University) and Carol Davenport (Think Physics) on 'giant waves in the ocean: from sea monsters to science' (awarded September 2016, ends May 2017).
    - Read the final project report here.

    • Focused mathematics workshops

  • Alexandra Tzella (PI; University of Birmigham) with Gavin Esler (UCL) and Jacques Vanneste (University of Edinburgh) on the 'mathematics of dispersion in the environment' (University of Birmingham, 4th-5th April 2016; awarded May 2015).
    - Read the final report here.
  • Ian Roulstone (PI) with Matt Turner and Bin Cheng (all University of Surrey) on 'coupling convection and large scale dynamics in numerical weather prediction models' (Surrey, 21st-22nd March 2016; awarded September 2015).
    - Read the final report here.
  • Vera Hazelwood (PI; Smith Institute) Helen Dacre (University of Reading) and Matt Watson (University of Bristol) on 'volcanic ash forecasting' (Royal Academy of Engineering, London, 22nd February 2016; awarded January 2016). List of participants.
    - Read the final project report here.
  • Sara Lombardo (PI) with Matteo Sommacal (both Northumbria University), Miguel Onorato (University of Turin, Italy), Fabio Baronio (University of Brescia, Italy) and Amin Chabchoub (Aalto University, Finland & University of Tokyo, Japan) on 'the onset of rogue waves' (Northumbria University, Spring 2017 (dates TBC); awarded September 2016).
    - Read the final project report here.

    • All subprojects have now been awarded.

                                        

    © 2017 Tiffany Hicks & Onno Bokhove: Contact coordinates
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